
Updated:
07.02.2006
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Risk Assessment
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Selected results
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Figure 1: Comparison of aggregated, normalized,
energy-related damage rates, based on historical experience of severe accidents
that occurred in OECD countries, non-OECD countries and EU15 for the period
1969-2000, except for data from the China Coal Industry Yearbook that were
only available for the years 1994-1999. For the Hydro chain non-OECD values
were given with and without the largest accident that ever happened in China,
which resulted in 26'000 fatalities alone. No reallocation of damages between
OECD and non-OECD countries was used in this case. Note that only immediate
fatalities were considered here, although latent fatalities are of particular
relevance for the nuclear chain.

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Figure 2: Comparison of frequency-consequence
curves for full energy chains in OECD countries for the period 1969-2000.
The curves for coal, oil, natural gas, LPG and Hydro are based on historical
accidents and show immediate
fatatlities. For the nuclear chain, the results originate from a plant-specific
Probabilistic Safety Assessment (PSA) of a nuclear power plant and reflect
latent
fatalities.

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Figure 3: Comparison of frequency-consequence
curves for full energy chains in non-OECD countries for the period 1969-2000.
The curves for coal w/o China, coal China, oil, natural gas, LPG and Hydro
are based on historical accidents and show immediate
fatatlities. For the nuclear chain, the immediate
fatalities are represented by one point (Chernobyl); for the estimated
Chernobyl-specific latent
fatalities lower and upper bound are given.
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